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Red101
313429.3
801134.9
546134.6
Blue74
325622.7
789527.2
741921.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109655010015010174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.91.8
29.427.6
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End7.3
red by 7.7
7895
#28
27.20.5
23.323.8
Auto6.3
Teleop14.2
End6.7
Second
5461
#14
34.61.1
32.331.2
Auto10.6
Teleop16.9
End7.0
red by 11.9
3256
#39
22.70.5
20.320.8
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End2.1
Third
3134
#29
29.31.1
35.234.1
Auto12.4
Teleop12.5
End4.3
red by 7.5
7419
#22
21.80.5
22.623.2
Auto8.7
Teleop7.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsMissed