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Red75
328822.1
364755.7
259414.1
Blue121
11456.4
881444.0
904422.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9011440608010014016018075121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.70.8
55.554.7
Auto13.5
Teleop34.0
End7.5
blue by 0.7
114
#3
56.40.8
51.352.1
Auto14.4
Teleop34.4
End7.1
Second
3288
#24
22.10.8
18.017.2
Auto8.5
Teleop7.2
End6.5
blue by 21.8
44.01.4
32.533.9
Auto13.2
Teleop24.0
End6.7
Third
2594
#46
14.10.8
14.013.1
Auto6.8
Teleop4.1
End3.2
blue by 8.8
9044
#31
22.90.8
19.920.7
Auto8.0
Teleop7.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsEarned