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Red126
635822.4
881444.0
189137.5
Blue53
587116.6
321637.4
304523.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions898150607010011012013012653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.04.5
33.938.4
Auto13.2
Teleop24.0
End6.7
red by 6.5
3216
#13
37.41.6
35.133.5
Auto10.2
Teleop19.6
End7.7
Second
1891
#23
37.52.9
31.334.2
Auto10.8
Teleop20.2
End6.0
red by 13.6
3045
#34
23.91.6
22.721.1
Auto7.1
Teleop11.9
End4.9
Third
6358
#21
22.42.9
17.220.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End8.5
red by 5.8
5871
#45
16.62.5
19.416.9
Auto6.3
Teleop6.1
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned36%Activation oddsMissed