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Red90
213030.1
931415.6
327532.6
Blue67
259414.1
924322.3
741921.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions866320401001201409067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3275
#19
32.60.2
31.731.8
Auto10.3
Teleop16.8
End5.6
red by 10.3
9243
#33
22.30.5
23.322.8
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End9.1
Second
2130
#30
30.10.2
30.730.9
Auto11.1
Teleop13.8
End5.2
red by 8.3
7419
#22
21.80.3
24.424.0
Auto8.7
Teleop7.2
End5.9
Third
9314
#36
15.60.2
15.415.6
Auto2.0
Teleop8.4
End5.2
red by 1.5
2594
#46
14.10.3
14.614.2
Auto6.8
Teleop4.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsMissed