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Qual 702023 Idaho Regional
Red133
543020.3
636432.8
11456.4
Blue107
189137.5
321637.4
904422.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1129150100150200133107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#3
56.42.0
53.3→55.3
Auto14.4
Teleop34.4
End7.1
red by 18.9
1891
#23
37.51.3
34.2→35.5
Auto10.8
Teleop20.2
End6.0
Second
6364
#9
32.82.0
32.5→34.5
Auto7.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
blue by 4.7
3216
#13
37.41.3
33.5→34.7
Auto10.2
Teleop19.6
End7.7
Third
5430
#18
20.32.0
16.9→19.0
Auto7.3
Teleop7.9
End5.1
blue by 2.6
9044
#31
22.91.3
20.2→21.5
Auto8.0
Teleop7.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
43%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned