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Red131
304523.9
801134.9
881444.0
Blue45
593328.2
313429.3
641123.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95945070809010011012013013145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.03.6
38.442.0
Auto13.2
Teleop24.0
End6.7
red by 14.7
3134
#29
29.32.9
34.131.2
Auto12.4
Teleop12.5
End4.3
Second
34.93.6
29.533.0
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End7.3
red by 6.7
5933
#37
28.22.9
29.226.3
Auto8.6
Teleop13.8
End5.8
Third
3045
#34
23.92.5
21.123.5
Auto7.1
Teleop11.9
End4.9
red by 0.7
6411
#15
23.22.9
24.922.0
Auto7.2
Teleop11.0
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsMissed