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Red64
417523.8
156934.7
29915.2
Blue111
635822.4
11548.9
328822.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74905010015064111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1569
#17
34.70.8
31.931.0
Auto8.6
Teleop16.8
End9.4
blue by 14.2
115
#7
48.91.6
45.046.5
Auto13.3
Teleop28.5
End7.0
Second
4175
#38
23.80.8
26.125.3
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End4.8
red by 1.4
6358
#21
22.41.6
20.121.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End8.5
Third
299
#41
15.20.8
13.512.6
Auto2.4
Teleop9.3
End3.5
blue by 7.0
3288
#24
22.11.6
17.519.0
Auto8.5
Teleop7.2
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed16%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsEarned