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Red99
801134.9
327532.6
904422.9
Blue75
29915.2
635822.4
313429.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96660501509975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.91.1
33.034.2
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End7.3
red by 5.6
3134
#29
29.30.6
31.231.8
Auto12.4
Teleop12.5
End4.3
Second
3275
#19
32.60.8
31.832.7
Auto10.3
Teleop16.8
End5.6
red by 10.2
6358
#21
22.40.6
21.722.3
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End8.5
Third
9044
#31
22.90.8
21.522.3
Auto8.0
Teleop7.5
End7.4
red by 7.8
299
#41
15.20.6
12.613.3
Auto2.4
Teleop9.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsMissed