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Red110
789527.2
881444.0
328822.1
Blue43
300616.5
636432.8
741921.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958020406012014016018011043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.01.6
42.043.6
Auto13.2
Teleop24.0
End6.7
red by 11.2
32.82.6
34.531.9
Auto7.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
Second
7895
#28
27.21.2
25.927.1
Auto6.3
Teleop14.2
End6.7
red by 5.4
7419
#22
21.82.6
24.021.4
Auto8.7
Teleop7.2
End5.9
Third
3288
#24
22.11.2
19.020.2
Auto8.5
Teleop7.2
End6.5
red by 5.6
3006
#35
16.53.5
18.414.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsMissed