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Red90
854625.7
385932.8
741921.8
Blue82
313429.3
546134.6
156934.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831102040601001201401601809082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3859
#16
32.80.1
33.033.1
Auto11.1
Teleop12.9
End8.7
blue by 1.9
1569
#17
34.70.4
35.134.7
Auto8.6
Teleop16.8
End9.4
Second
8546
#10
25.70.1
25.926.0
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End8.5
blue by 8.9
5461
#14
34.60.4
35.034.6
Auto10.6
Teleop16.9
End7.0
Third
7419
#22
21.80.1
22.022.1
Auto8.7
Teleop7.2
End5.9
blue by 7.5
3134
#29
29.30.4
29.729.3
Auto12.4
Teleop12.5
End4.3