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Qual 12023 Midwest Regional
Red82
11156.3
311018.9
215115.8
Blue92
812236.6
593440.8
69451.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65840501001508292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#2
56.32.1
33.8→35.8
Auto14.2
Teleop32.7
End9.2
red by 4.9
694
#4
51.41.2
34.5→35.7
Auto15.1
Teleop26.1
End10.2
Second
3110
#36
18.92.1
15.1→17.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.5
End4.5
blue by 22.0
5934
#1
40.81.2
20.7→21.9
Auto8.2
Teleop25.5
End7.2
Third
2151
#28
15.82.1
14.7→16.7
Auto3.1
Teleop8.8
End3.8
blue by 20.9
8122
#22
36.61.2
20.9→22.1
Auto9.0
Teleop20.3
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsMissed