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Red100
809637.5
306134.2
348836.8
Blue88
4835.2
306731.6
470212.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7361020408010012014016010088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.53.7
17.020.7
Auto8.9
Teleop21.5
End7.1
red by 2.3
48
#24
35.22.7
24.627.3
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End7.1
Second
36.83.7
21.425.1
Auto10.6
Teleop20.7
End5.5
red by 5.2
3067
#14
31.62.7
17.920.6
Auto9.0
Teleop17.5
End5.1
Third
34.23.7
28.231.9
Auto10.8
Teleop14.3
End9.1
red by 22.2
4702
#39
12.02.7
16.118.8
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsMissed