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Red108
746031.1
245150.3
202218.4
Blue69
283027.4
348836.8
812236.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8180405060709010011012010869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.33.6
33.136.7
Auto10.9
Teleop29.3
End10.1
red by 13.5
36.80.7
25.124.4
Auto10.6
Teleop20.7
End5.5
Second
7460
#18
31.13.6
25.829.4
Auto6.4
Teleop17.5
End7.1
blue by 5.5
8122
#22
36.60.7
22.121.4
Auto9.0
Teleop20.3
End7.3
Third
2022
#29
18.43.6
16.720.3
Auto6.3
Teleop5.7
End6.3
blue by 9.0
2830
#32
27.40.7
28.027.3
Auto6.5
Teleop15.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsMissed