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Red55
178135.4
207714.9
582220.9
Blue129
233847.3
11156.3
306134.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56111010015020055129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#12
35.40.5
25.224.7
Auto9.2
Teleop20.4
End5.8
blue by 20.9
111
#2
56.33.5
35.839.4
Auto14.2
Teleop32.7
End9.2
Second
5822
#23
20.90.5
19.418.9
Auto6.6
Teleop10.4
End3.9
blue by 26.4
47.33.5
29.633.1
Auto11.8
Teleop28.1
End7.4
Third
2077
#46
14.90.5
14.914.4
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End1.2
blue by 19.3
34.23.5
31.935.4
Auto10.8
Teleop14.3
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
33%Activation oddsMissed70%Activation oddsMissed