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Qual 502023 Midwest Regional
Red108
464526.7
233847.3
335225.3
Blue117
809637.5
283027.4
593440.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8892050150200108117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#5
47.32.8
40.8→43.5
Auto11.8
Teleop28.1
End7.4
red by 6.4
5934
#1
40.83.0
34.3→37.2
Auto8.2
Teleop25.5
End7.2
Second
4645
#25
26.72.8
18.1→20.9
Auto6.6
Teleop14.4
End5.6
blue by 10.8
8096
#7
37.53.0
28.1→31.1
Auto8.9
Teleop21.5
End7.1
Third
3352
#15
25.32.8
24.2→27.0
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End6.5
blue by 2.1
2830
#32
27.43.0
23.0→26.0
Auto6.5
Teleop15.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsMissed