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Red98
207714.9
93048.3
67728.3
Blue132
306731.6
245150.3
373435.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8711140608010012014016018098132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#10
48.31.5
43.545.0
Auto13.6
Teleop25.8
End8.7
blue by 2.0
50.31.8
44.846.6
Auto10.9
Teleop29.3
End10.1
Second
677
#35
28.31.5
26.027.5
Auto8.9
Teleop14.5
End4.9
blue by 6.6
3734
#17
35.01.8
28.129.9
Auto8.2
Teleop19.7
End7.1
Third
2077
#46
14.91.5
15.016.5
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End1.2
blue by 16.7
3067
#14
31.61.8
28.029.8
Auto9.0
Teleop17.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsEarned