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Qual 522023 Midwest Regional
Red113
756010.7
69451.4
311018.9
Blue68
582220.9
4835.2
723713.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7765204010012011368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#4
51.44.2
41.7→45.9
Auto15.1
Teleop26.1
End10.2
red by 16.2
48
#24
35.20.6
29.3→29.9
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End7.1
Second
3110
#36
18.94.2
18.6→22.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.5
End4.5
blue by 2.0
5822
#23
20.90.6
21.7→22.3
Auto6.6
Teleop10.4
End3.9
Third
7560
#30
10.74.2
10.3→14.5
Auto3.5
Teleop2.9
End4.3
blue by 2.8
7237
#42
13.50.6
11.5→12.1
Auto1.3
Teleop6.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned26%Activation oddsMissed