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Qual 552023 Midwest Regional
Red58
478713.2
908213.0
283027.4
Blue69
470212.0
512515.8
306134.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50700204060801001205869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2830
#32
27.40.9
26.0→26.9
Auto6.5
Teleop15.4
End5.5
blue by 6.8
3061
#9
34.20.5
34.5→34.1
Auto10.8
Teleop14.3
End9.1
Second
4787
#40
13.20.9
12.7→13.6
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End2.5
blue by 2.6
5125
#38
15.80.5
15.2→14.7
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End4.8
Third
9082
#34
13.00.9
10.6→11.5
Auto7.3
Teleop3.5
End2.2
red by 1.0
4702
#39
12.00.5
13.8→13.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsEarned