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Red142
11156.3
593440.8
339026.3
Blue113
93048.3
514821.7
306731.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118101406080140160180142113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#2
56.32.4
46.749.1
Auto14.2
Teleop32.7
End9.2
red by 8.0
930
#10
48.31.7
45.046.6
Auto13.6
Teleop25.8
End8.7
Second
40.82.4
37.239.6
Auto8.2
Teleop25.5
End7.2
red by 9.3
3067
#14
31.61.7
29.831.5
Auto9.0
Teleop17.5
End5.1
Third
3390
#20
26.32.4
24.927.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.2
End7.4
red by 4.6
5148
#45
21.71.7
22.223.8
Auto2.8
Teleop13.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsEarned