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Qual 572023 Midwest Regional
Red36
311018.9
582220.9
665114.5
Blue111
235819.2
809637.5
245150.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions591125010015036111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5822
#23
20.92.7
22.3→19.6
Auto6.6
Teleop10.4
End3.9
blue by 29.4
2451
#3
50.31.3
46.6→48.0
Auto10.9
Teleop29.3
End10.1
Second
3110
#36
18.92.7
22.7→20.0
Auto4.8
Teleop9.5
End4.5
blue by 18.6
8096
#7
37.51.3
31.1→32.4
Auto8.9
Teleop21.5
End7.1
Third
6651
#43
14.52.7
17.2→14.5
Auto5.7
Teleop7.2
End1.6
blue by 4.8
2358
#26
19.21.3
20.3→21.7
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsEarned