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Qual 582023 Midwest Regional
Red68
202218.4
37932.6
207714.9
Blue88
69451.4
173916.7
802921.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65892040801001201401606888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#13
32.60.6
29.3→28.7
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End7.5
blue by 18.8
694
#4
51.41.3
45.9→44.6
Auto15.1
Teleop26.1
End10.2
Second
2022
#29
18.40.6
18.1→17.5
Auto6.3
Teleop5.7
End6.3
blue by 3.5
8029
#16
21.91.3
20.2→18.9
Auto5.3
Teleop8.8
End7.8
Third
2077
#46
14.90.6
16.5→15.9
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End1.2
blue by 1.9
1739
#21
16.71.3
14.2→13.0
Auto4.8
Teleop5.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned