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Qual 742023 Midwest Regional
Red144
11156.3
173916.7
11236.8
Blue122
245150.3
306134.2
250617.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991056080120140160144122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#2
56.34.5
51.8→56.3
Auto14.2
Teleop32.7
End9.2
red by 6.0
2451
#3
50.31.7
49.0→50.8
Auto10.9
Teleop29.3
End10.1
Second
112
#19
36.84.5
30.9→35.4
Auto8.6
Teleop23.7
End4.5
red by 2.6
3061
#9
34.21.7
33.5→35.3
Auto10.8
Teleop14.3
End9.1
Third
1739
#21
16.74.5
11.1→15.6
Auto4.8
Teleop5.8
End6.1
blue by 0.3
2506
#33
17.01.7
14.9→16.6
Auto6.0
Teleop6.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsEarned21%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned