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Qual 752023 Midwest Regional
Red105
369518.1
162537.0
37932.6
Blue94
311018.9
373435.0
283027.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8482406010012010594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#11
37.02.3
33.0→35.3
Auto12.6
Teleop18.4
End5.9
red by 2.0
3734
#17
35.01.5
32.6→34.1
Auto8.2
Teleop19.7
End7.1
Second
379
#13
32.62.3
29.3→31.6
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End7.5
red by 5.2
2830
#32
27.41.5
26.5→28.0
Auto6.5
Teleop15.4
End5.5
Third
3695
#41
18.12.3
16.7→19.0
Auto2.9
Teleop8.1
End7.1
blue by 0.8
3110
#36
18.91.5
18.5→19.9
Auto4.8
Teleop9.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsMissed