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Red117
4835.2
37932.6
201330.4
Blue110
162537.0
880223.8
178135.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021029095100105110115117110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#24
35.20.3
34.334.6
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End7.1
blue by 1.8
1625
#11
37.00.2
36.737.0
Auto12.6
Teleop18.4
End5.9
Second
379
#13
32.60.3
31.732.0
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End7.5
blue by 2.8
1781
#12
35.40.2
35.135.4
Auto9.2
Teleop20.4
End5.8
Third
2013
#31
30.40.3
29.629.8
Auto11.0
Teleop12.1
End7.3
red by 6.6
8802
#27
23.80.2
23.523.8
Auto6.2
Teleop8.6
End8.9