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Red129
202218.4
69451.4
809637.5
Blue125
4835.2
37932.6
201330.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111101406080120140160180129125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#4
51.40.5
50.050.5
Auto15.1
Teleop26.1
End10.2
red by 16.2
48
#24
35.20.6
34.635.2
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End7.1
Second
37.50.5
36.036.6
Auto8.9
Teleop21.5
End7.1
red by 4.9
379
#13
32.60.6
32.032.6
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End7.5
Third
2022
#29
18.40.5
16.917.5
Auto6.3
Teleop5.7
End6.3
blue by 12.0
2013
#31
30.40.5
29.830.4
Auto11.0
Teleop12.1
End7.3