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Red143
202218.4
69451.4
809637.5
Blue94
812236.6
432730.3
306731.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071098010012014016014394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#4
51.40.9
49.250.1
Auto15.1
Teleop26.1
End10.2
red by 14.8
8122
#22
36.60.3
37.637.4
Auto9.0
Teleop20.3
End7.3
Second
37.50.9
35.336.2
Auto8.9
Teleop21.5
End7.1
red by 5.9
3067
#14
31.60.3
32.732.4
Auto9.0
Teleop17.5
End5.1
Third
2022
#29
18.40.9
16.217.1
Auto6.3
Teleop5.7
End6.3
blue by 11.9
30.30.3
31.431.1
Auto9.1
Teleop14.3
End6.8