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Red145
93048.3
11156.3
746031.1
Blue70
162537.0
880223.8
178135.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150945020014570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#2
56.30.0
56.056.0
Auto14.2
Teleop32.7
End9.2
red by 19.3
1625
#11
37.00.8
36.836.0
Auto12.6
Teleop18.4
End5.9
Second
930
#10
48.30.0
48.048.0
Auto13.6
Teleop25.8
End8.7
red by 12.9
1781
#12
35.40.8
35.234.4
Auto9.2
Teleop20.4
End5.8
Third
7460
#18
31.10.0
30.830.9
Auto6.4
Teleop17.5
End7.1
red by 7.4
8802
#27
23.80.8
23.622.8
Auto6.2
Teleop8.6
End8.9