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Red132
93048.3
11156.3
746031.1
Blue128
245150.3
11236.8
283027.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14611980100160180200132128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#2
56.30.0
56.056.0
Auto14.2
Teleop32.7
End9.2
red by 6.0
50.30.2
50.550.7
Auto10.9
Teleop29.3
End10.1
Second
930
#10
48.30.0
48.048.0
Auto13.6
Teleop25.8
End8.7
red by 11.5
112
#19
36.80.2
37.037.2
Auto8.6
Teleop23.7
End4.5
Third
7460
#18
31.10.0
30.930.8
Auto6.4
Teleop17.5
End7.1
red by 3.7
2830
#32
27.40.2
27.627.8
Auto6.5
Teleop15.4
End5.5