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Red59
784822.1
270428.6
418725.4
Blue125
548436.2
464534.4
248140.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6710605015059125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2704
#14
28.61.0
25.224.2
Auto7.2
Teleop16.9
End4.5
blue by 11.9
40.53.4
35.338.7
Auto13.7
Teleop18.4
End8.5
Second
4187
#15
25.41.0
20.419.4
Auto7.3
Teleop13.7
End4.4
blue by 10.8
36.22.0
29.131.2
Auto13.7
Teleop16.4
End6.2
Third
7848
#27
22.11.0
22.321.3
Auto2.3
Teleop14.3
End5.5
blue by 12.2
4645
#10
34.42.0
30.132.1
Auto9.3
Teleop17.3
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed22%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed50%Activation oddsEarned