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Red108
23445.0
216931.0
120820.9
Blue90
544232.5
431424.8
421338.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions919160708010011012013014010890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#8
45.01.4
41.342.7
Auto13.6
Teleop24.7
End6.8
red by 6.5
38.50.7
31.732.4
Auto12.0
Teleop17.1
End9.4
Second
2169
#11
31.02.4
26.929.3
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End6.2
blue by 1.5
5442
#24
32.50.7
30.230.9
Auto8.8
Teleop17.1
End6.6
Third
1208
#31
20.91.4
18.620.0
Auto6.3
Teleop8.6
End6.0
blue by 3.9
4314
#19
24.80.7
21.722.4
Auto7.1
Teleop10.7
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsEarned11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned