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Red65
64816.9
580133.5
203921.4
Blue119
248140.5
353946.4
565329.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621195010015065119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5801
#13
33.50.1
30.430.4
Auto7.3
Teleop16.7
End9.5
blue by 12.9
46.40.6
41.141.8
Auto13.4
Teleop24.8
End8.3
Second
2039
#21
21.40.1
20.820.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.2
End6.5
blue by 19.1
40.51.1
36.837.9
Auto13.7
Teleop18.4
End8.5
Third
648
#29
16.90.1
14.514.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End6.1
blue by 12.3
5653
#25
29.20.6
26.427.0
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed73%Activation oddsEarned