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Red131
665113.9
421338.5
175658.8
Blue114
465532.2
2746.6
409631.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171096080100140160180200131114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.80.7
57.057.7
Auto14.9
Teleop34.7
End8.7
red by 12.3
27
#2
46.60.4
43.944.3
Auto14.0
Teleop23.9
End8.6
Second
38.51.1
37.838.9
Auto12.0
Teleop17.1
End9.4
red by 6.4
4655
#17
32.20.6
28.729.3
Auto11.1
Teleop15.1
End5.9
Third
6651
#28
13.90.7
13.714.4
Auto5.5
Teleop6.3
End2.1
blue by 17.4
4096
#16DQ
31.30.6
30.731.3
Auto9.7
Teleop13.8
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
52%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned