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Qual 392023 Central Illinois Regional
Red117
202219.1
548436.2
623731.2
Blue91
584726.9
216931.0
544232.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8098406012014011791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5484
#3
36.22.0
33.6→35.6
Auto13.7
Teleop16.4
End6.2
red by 3.8
5442
#24
32.50.2
31.7→31.9
Auto8.8
Teleop17.1
End6.6
Second
6237
#12
31.23.3
26.2→29.5
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End4.8
red by 0.2
2169
#11
31.00.2
28.8→29.0
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End6.2
Third
2022
#22
19.12.0
17.3→19.2
Auto5.3
Teleop8.0
End5.8
blue by 7.9
5847
#26
26.90.2
28.9→29.1
Auto5.4
Teleop13.8
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed36%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsMissed