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Red108
431424.8
409631.3
623731.2
Blue95
64816.9
465532.2
248140.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9081406010012014010895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4096
#16
31.31.4
29.430.8
Auto9.7
Teleop13.8
End7.1
blue by 9.2
40.51.3
34.936.2
Auto13.7
Teleop18.4
End8.5
Second
6237
#12
31.21.6
29.531.2
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End4.8
blue by 1.0
4655
#17
32.21.2
28.930.1
Auto11.1
Teleop15.1
End5.9
Third
4314
#19
24.81.3
24.625.9
Auto7.1
Teleop10.7
End7.0
red by 7.9
648
#29
16.91.2
13.014.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsEarned