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Qual 542023 Central Illinois Regional
Red120
203921.4
544232.5
414356.8
Blue102
421338.5
204027.6
2746.6
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141198090100110130140150160120102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#4
56.80.8
55.8→56.7
Auto13.5
Teleop34.2
End8.7
red by 10.2
27
#2
46.60.6
45.3→44.7
Auto14.0
Teleop23.9
End8.6
Second
5442
#24
32.51.0
30.5→31.5
Auto8.8
Teleop17.1
End6.6
blue by 6.1
4213
#7
38.50.8
38.5→37.7
Auto12.0
Teleop17.1
End9.4
Third
2039
#21
21.41.2
21.3→22.5
Auto5.7
Teleop9.2
End6.5
blue by 6.2
2040
#23
27.60.8
27.1→26.3
Auto8.0
Teleop11.1
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsMissed46%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned