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Red136
409631.3
548436.2
23445.0
Blue83
741715.3
565329.2
120820.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128615010015013683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#8
45.00.8
44.945.8
Auto13.6
Teleop24.7
End6.8
red by 15.8
5653
#25
29.20.8
29.029.8
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End5.6
Second
36.20.8
35.536.3
Auto13.7
Teleop16.4
End6.2
red by 15.3
1208
#31
20.90.8
20.921.7
Auto6.3
Teleop8.6
End6.0
Third
4096
#16
31.31.1
30.832.0
Auto9.7
Teleop13.8
End7.1
red by 16.0
7417
#32
15.31.0
15.916.9
Auto1.5
Teleop6.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned25%Activation oddsEarned