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Red128
584726.9
414356.8
784822.1
Blue114
580133.5
204027.6
208024.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118794060100140160180128114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.80.2
56.756.8
Auto13.5
Teleop34.2
End8.7
red by 23.2
5801
#13
33.51.5
30.531.9
Auto7.3
Teleop16.7
End9.5
Second
5847
#26
26.90.2
27.127.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.8
End7.7
blue by 0.7
2040
#23
27.61.6
26.327.9
Auto8.0
Teleop11.1
End8.5
Third
7848
#27
22.10.2
22.022.1
Auto2.3
Teleop14.3
End5.5
blue by 2.1
2080
#30
24.21.8
22.524.2
Auto4.6
Teleop12.5
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
66%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned