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Red122
348834.4
409644.6
809647.0
Blue88
421336.5
283028.8
203934.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13510305015020012288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8096
#18
47.00.0
46.146.1
Auto15.6
Teleop24.2
End7.4
red by 10.5
4213
#13
36.50.3
36.836.5
Auto12.0
Teleop14.6
End10.0
Second
4096
#16
44.60.0
43.743.7
Auto13.4
Teleop20.0
End10.1
red by 10.2
2039
#12
34.40.3
34.734.4
Auto10.0
Teleop17.1
End7.4
Third
3488
#15
34.40.0
33.533.5
Auto11.3
Teleop16.9
End6.5
red by 5.7
2830
#28
28.80.3
29.128.8
Auto11.4
Teleop11.3
End5.7