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Red138
233857.1
270424.4
245150.2
Blue135
220242.1
465541.1
179232.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145117050100200250138135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.10.1
58.058.1
Auto13.5
Teleop33.3
End8.1
red by 15.0
42.10.5
41.341.8
Auto9.4
Teleop24.7
End8.7
Second
50.20.1
51.251.3
Auto9.4
Teleop31.4
End8.4
red by 9.1
41.10.5
40.340.8
Auto9.3
Teleop25.0
End6.5
Third
2704
#27
24.40.1
25.325.4
Auto6.0
Teleop12.1
End6.6
blue by 7.8
1792
#21
32.20.5
31.431.9
Auto12.0
Teleop13.7
End6.7