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Red155
623724.6
427253.9
414354.6
Blue157
809647.0
409644.6
348834.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141126050100200250155157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#11
54.60.5
54.054.6
Auto14.8
Teleop28.5
End9.9
red by 7.6
8096
#18
47.00.8
45.346.1
Auto15.6
Teleop24.2
End7.4
Second
53.90.5
53.453.9
Auto14.1
Teleop30.5
End7.6
red by 9.3
4096
#16
44.60.8
42.943.7
Auto13.4
Teleop20.0
End10.1
Third
6237
#25
24.60.5
24.124.6
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End4.5
blue by 9.8
3488
#15
34.40.8
32.733.5
Auto11.3
Teleop16.9
End6.5