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Red112
512523.2
162544.5
593437.7
Blue138
421336.5
283028.8
203934.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11610320406080140160112138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.50.0
44.544.5
Auto9.9
Teleop25.6
End8.5
red by 8.0
4213
#13
36.50.8
36.036.8
Auto12.0
Teleop14.6
End10.0
Second
5934
#10
37.70.0
37.737.7
Auto8.3
Teleop23.2
End6.8
red by 3.3
2039
#12
34.40.8
33.934.7
Auto10.0
Teleop17.1
End7.4
Third
5125
#17
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto6.9
Teleop12.6
End3.9
blue by 5.6
2830
#28
28.80.8
28.329.1
Auto11.4
Teleop11.3
End5.7