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Red146
888019.3
427253.9
414354.6
Blue149
220242.1
465541.1
179232.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13511550100150200146149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#11
54.60.5
53.654.0
Auto14.8
Teleop28.5
End9.9
red by 12.5
42.10.9
40.541.3
Auto9.4
Teleop24.7
End8.7
Second
53.90.5
52.953.4
Auto14.1
Teleop30.5
End7.6
red by 12.8
41.10.9
39.440.3
Auto9.3
Teleop25.0
End6.5
Third
8880
#24
19.30.5
18.819.3
Auto7.2
Teleop6.6
End5.6
blue by 12.9
1792
#21
32.20.9
30.531.4
Auto12.0
Teleop13.7
End6.7