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Red140
623724.6
427253.9
414354.6
Blue112
421336.5
283028.8
203934.4
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14497050200250140112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#11
54.60.2
53.453.6
Auto14.8
Teleop28.5
End9.9
red by 18.1
4213
#13
36.50.2
35.535.7
Auto12.0
Teleop14.6
End10.0
Second
53.90.2
52.752.9
Auto14.1
Teleop30.5
End7.6
red by 19.5
2039
#12
34.40.2
33.433.6
Auto10.0
Teleop17.1
End7.4
Third
6237
#25
24.60.2
23.924.1
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End4.5
blue by 4.2
2830
#28
28.80.2
27.828.0
Auto11.4
Teleop11.3
End5.7