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Red112
582219.6
7140.8
52542.1
Blue118
220242.1
465541.1
179232.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108119050150200250112118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#14
42.10.1
42.342.4
Auto12.4
Teleop23.4
End6.3
Level
42.10.2
40.340.5
Auto9.4
Teleop24.7
End8.7
Second
71
#4
40.80.1
41.041.1
Auto10.1
Teleop23.3
End7.8
blue by 0.3
41.10.2
39.339.4
Auto9.3
Teleop25.0
End6.5
Third
5822
#26
19.60.1
19.519.6
Auto7.7
Teleop7.4
End4.5
blue by 12.6
1792
#21
32.20.2
30.430.5
Auto12.0
Teleop13.7
End6.7