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Red160
745761.6
32830.9
46161.2
Blue166
501055.4
761750.6
765743.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16615480100120140180200220160166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.1
62.262.3
Auto13.7
Teleop39.1
End8.6
red by 6.2
55.40.3
55.055.3
Auto13.1
Teleop31.1
End10.8
Second
461
#10
61.20.1
61.761.9
Auto14.7
Teleop37.4
End7.5
red by 10.6
50.60.3
50.250.5
Auto12.7
Teleop29.6
End8.1
Third
328
#20
30.90.1
31.531.6
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End6.8
blue by 12.1
7657
#26
43.00.3
42.642.9
Auto12.3
Teleop22.9
End7.0