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Red123
745761.6
32830.9
46161.2
Blue152
501055.4
761750.6
765743.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166155100120140180200220240123152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.7
62.361.6
Auto13.7
Teleop39.1
End8.6
red by 6.2
55.40.1
55.355.4
Auto13.1
Teleop31.1
End10.8
Second
461
#10
61.20.7
61.961.2
Auto14.7
Teleop37.4
End7.5
red by 10.6
50.60.1
50.550.6
Auto12.7
Teleop29.6
End8.1
Third
328
#20
30.90.7
31.630.9
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End6.8
blue by 12.1
7657
#26
43.00.1
42.943.0
Auto12.3
Teleop22.9
End7.0