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Red127
82949.8
348746.8
394730.8
Blue148
394053.7
761750.6
150153.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12515150100200250127148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#12
49.80.4
48.148.5
Auto11.8
Teleop30.9
End6.7
blue by 3.9
3940
#14
53.70.6
51.552.1
Auto13.1
Teleop32.8
End6.6
Second
46.80.4
42.943.4
Auto14.1
Teleop24.8
End7.5
blue by 6.9
53.70.6
48.148.8
Auto14.5
Teleop30.6
End7.6
Third
3947
#31
30.80.4
29.529.9
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End6.1
blue by 19.8
50.60.6
41.842.4
Auto12.7
Teleop29.6
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsEarned61%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned