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Red152
745761.6
492639.4
427251.9
Blue121
314740.9
518842.1
155531.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15011050100200250152121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.61.1
54.555.6
Auto13.7
Teleop39.1
End8.6
red by 19.6
5188
#23
42.10.5
43.744.2
Auto11.1
Teleop21.9
End8.5
Second
51.91.1
45.546.6
Auto16.0
Teleop28.5
End6.7
red by 11.0
3147
#24
40.90.5
37.337.8
Auto13.3
Teleop20.3
End7.2
Third
4926
#27
39.41.1
37.638.6
Auto11.3
Teleop21.1
End6.7
red by 7.9
1555
#28
31.40.5
27.528.0
Auto7.2
Teleop15.9
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
73%Sustainability oddsEarned27%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned