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Red115
164635.6
695637.2
86847.2
Blue129
765743.0
23445.8
811631.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10913650150200115129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#15
47.20.6
44.545.1
Auto13.6
Teleop23.7
End9.4
red by 1.5
234
#22
45.80.3
52.853.1
Auto12.7
Teleop26.3
End5.9
Second
6956
#17
37.20.6
29.730.3
Auto10.0
Teleop20.9
End6.5
blue by 5.8
7657
#26
43.00.3
43.343.7
Auto12.3
Teleop22.9
End7.0
Third
1646
#30
35.60.6
31.532.1
Auto11.7
Teleop18.4
End5.6
red by 4.7
8116
#25
31.00.3
29.329.7
Auto9.6
Teleop15.3
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsEarned77%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsMissed77%Activation oddsEarned