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Red136
102449.8
492639.4
32830.9
Blue123
394730.8
765743.0
761750.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123122100110130140150136123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#21
49.80.8
46.046.8
Auto13.7
Teleop28.4
End7.2
blue by 0.8
50.60.3
42.442.1
Auto12.7
Teleop29.6
End8.1
Second
4926
#27DQ
39.40.8
38.639.5
Auto11.3
Teleop21.1
End6.7
blue by 3.6
7657
#26
43.00.3
43.743.3
Auto12.3
Teleop22.9
End7.0
Third
328
#20
30.90.8
29.230.0
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End6.8
red by 0.1
3947
#31
30.80.3
29.929.6
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsMissed46%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned